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The weekly top 10 for B2B tech operators · Every Friday

Top 10 in Tech - What to know for Week ending May 10 2024

Friday 09:00 NZT Curated by Jon Davies
Top 10 in Tech - What to know for Week ending May 10, 2024

AI (part 1)

Check out Stanford's AI trends and index report. A few key highlights: 1. AI is better than humans only on a small subset of tasks; 2. Foundational models are getting more expensive to train, 3. Most AI innovation is happening in the US (but the regulators are coming).

AI (part 2)

Read this in Yodas voice: "Begun the AI Wars has." VCs poured $50B+ into AI last year, with significant investments from big tech and Nvidia's $50 billion in AI chip sales, totaling over $120 billion in AI investment. This boom has led to a few other companies jumping into the ring, including Adobe, Amazon, Meta, and (reported last week) Apple. This surge raises questions about whether AI models arein a bubble, will remain valuable products, or become commoditized, impacting profitability and future AI developments. AI is already fueling Microsoft's surge in cloud revenue, stealing market share from rivals and boosting its enterprise business, and OpenAI may challenge Google.

INDUSTRY (part 1)

Last week's newsletter was notable as I had the most ever clicks on one post ever - Is SaaS Dead? Part of the current issue with SaaS is the lack of future liquidity via poor M&A and IPO markets. With IPOs, Tech Companies have a general hesitancy because of perceived "size." Meritech Capital did the analysis, and it turns out there is no "Size Problem." It's all about business quality rather than the size of the revenue base. Read more here

INDUSTRY (part 2)

ChartMogul's April Benchmark data is out and shows that SaaS is remaining stable - we're in the "it's not getting worse" phase - with growth rates remaining steady. But drilling deeper reveals some potential positivity: Growth is picking up more broadly. PitchBook data takes a bit of a different take: VC investment in the US slowed in Q1'24, especially for large deals and IPOs. AI remains a hot investment area, while M&A activity is stalled.

CASE STUDY: SEARCH

What has broken Google Search? Before ChatGPT and the like threatened Google's somewhat laissez-faire monopoly of search, Google's search revenue had already faltered back in 2019, triggering a "code yellow" crisis. According to this article (with solid sources), Google's ad and finance teams pushed for aggressive growth measures, resulting in the current compromised search quality and user experience to boost revenue. This internal conflict revealed what the real problem may be - a shift in Google's focus from user-centric innovation to revenue-driven tactics. Of course, it may not all be Google's fault (in fact, they already penned a strongly worded letter of complaint to the author- and he's responded, taking none of their antics) - the other problem is that the web has also gone to shit and a lot of it has become "too inauthentic to trust."

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